As you can imagine, we receive numerous updates from all sorts of investment experts about what is occurring in the markets. I think we can safely say that everyone is in agreement that the last few weeks have been something of a turbulent market.
However, all is not lost - and at the risk of sounding like a stuck record, we came across these statistics recently which show when the S&P 500 has fallen by more than 25% since 1950, what has happened over the subsequent periods. It shows that riding the rollercoaster in most instances leads to growth in the markets within a year and certainly considerable growth in the medium to long term.
This is backed up by the performance of clients' portfolios that we are seeing when looking at historic data.
I hear you think ‘but that’s the American markets’........
So let us look at the FTSE 100 index. At the time of writing this article, it is sitting fractionally shy of 7,000. Putting it into perspective over the last 5 years…….
Yes, it has been higher, but compared to the effect of Covid-19 and the following 12 months, markets are still holding. Although the ‘feeling’ at the moment is that markets are in turmoil, in fact, it isn’t as bad as the media would like you to believe.
So what about portfolio performance?........
The biggest impact we have seen on clients’ portfolios is the combination of the downturn in the stock markets of recent coupled with the falling Bond markets following the now infamous mini-budget of a few weeks ago.
This doesn’t happen very often as normally these are not correlated.
The bond markets are starting to recover slightly but it will take a little time for there to be confidence in the government again and a lot of this will be what happens in the coming weeks as the new Prime Minister settles in.
Whilst we cannot be exact about when a recovery will happen, needless to say, that history shows it will……….. So sit tight and hold on!
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